Wow, I almost yet you all down and forgot to pick again. I'm pressed for time, so I gotta make this one quick. Here you go. Enjoy.
Cincinnati -1 At Buffalo 43.5
Pick: Cincy
Yeah, I know Cincinnati has been crappy all year, but Balitomore is worse. Hell, I picked the over on the Jets/Bills games last week and Buffalo couldn't score if NY sat their entire defense for a play.
Yep, that's it for now. 7-1 people!
Sunday, November 4, 2007
Thursday, October 25, 2007
LotW for Week 8
Karma may bite my ass here, but I am eyeing that SD game with great interest. Depending on how crazy that gets, that may become the LotW by default. I don't like the 9.5 spot SD is getting right now, anyway, so throw in a hefty dose of team turmoil and you have a recipe for an easy Houston cover.
But I'm not going there. Not yet. I'm ignoring that game right now and searching for even easier pickings.
Cleveland -3 At St. Louis
Pick: Cleveland
Derrick Frickin' Anderson. DERRICK FRICKIN' ANDERSON! Who?!? Yes, the Great Unknown is going to come through for me. Yes, I know Jackson is back running again. Yes, I know Bulger is back throwing again. Yes, I also know this:
-STLs offensive line is putrid.
-Cleveland's offense is good
-STL can't stop grade schoolers from eating a cookie.
-Baltimore put up 22 points on them.
-I am 6-1 in picking the LotW
With this in mind, you have no choice but to agree with me here. Easy cash, people!
Others I like:
At Tampa Bay -4 Jacksonville 32.5
Pick: Tampa
I expect far too many costly mistakes out of the shlep throwing in Jax. 'Nuff said.
Pittsburgh -3.5 At Cincinnati 48
Pick: Pittsburg
Almost the LotW, but it's in Cincy and it's a divisional game. But I'm going to beMC Hammer on this one - Can't Touch This. I do like the -3.5, though. Is niiiiice...
At NY Jets -3 Buffalo 37
Pick: The over!
Yep, take the over. a 20-17 final is all they think is going to happen. Um, last I checked both teams lack defense.
And now the MNF pick. I hate this game, so you know.
At Denver -3 Green Bay 42
Pick: Green Bay
Um, yeah. I've switched this twice already in my head. I have no idea, but to keep with Chuck's request, I am picking every MNF game, like it or not. Ugh.
There you have it! 6-1 and counting. Only NE and Indy are better than I am!
But I'm not going there. Not yet. I'm ignoring that game right now and searching for even easier pickings.
Cleveland -3 At St. Louis
Pick: Cleveland
Derrick Frickin' Anderson. DERRICK FRICKIN' ANDERSON! Who?!? Yes, the Great Unknown is going to come through for me. Yes, I know Jackson is back running again. Yes, I know Bulger is back throwing again. Yes, I also know this:
-STLs offensive line is putrid.
-Cleveland's offense is good
-STL can't stop grade schoolers from eating a cookie.
-Baltimore put up 22 points on them.
-I am 6-1 in picking the LotW
With this in mind, you have no choice but to agree with me here. Easy cash, people!
Others I like:
At Tampa Bay -4 Jacksonville 32.5
Pick: Tampa
I expect far too many costly mistakes out of the shlep throwing in Jax. 'Nuff said.
Pittsburgh -3.5 At Cincinnati 48
Pick: Pittsburg
Almost the LotW, but it's in Cincy and it's a divisional game. But I'm going to beMC Hammer on this one - Can't Touch This. I do like the -3.5, though. Is niiiiice...
At NY Jets -3 Buffalo 37
Pick: The over!
Yep, take the over. a 20-17 final is all they think is going to happen. Um, last I checked both teams lack defense.
And now the MNF pick. I hate this game, so you know.
At Denver -3 Green Bay 42
Pick: Green Bay
Um, yeah. I've switched this twice already in my head. I have no idea, but to keep with Chuck's request, I am picking every MNF game, like it or not. Ugh.
There you have it! 6-1 and counting. Only NE and Indy are better than I am!
So much for Jax
Ouch. Gerrard goes down and Indy pulls out the Blues Brothers "We're on a mission from God" card and kicks the ever livin' crap out of them. I don't think I need to say much more than that. Yeesh...
Monday, October 22, 2007
LotW comes through
Ah yes, 5-1 on the season picking my lock of the week. Man, sometimes it just looks too damn easy, doesn't it?
So Eli didn't quite look like Joe Montana out there, but he played a solid game. Dilfer strangely enough played better than I expected, but he did give up two INTs, which is not a shocker. My original analysis just looked at the QBs, but I didn't even think about giving the G-Men any credit for their defense. Shame on me for that oversight.
But hey, a win is a win, and a win and cover is even better. 5-1 on the year for the LotW. Obviously in week 5 I got smacked in the mouth with every game I picked. Let's see how the MNF game goes tonight. And just remember, The Lock is really all I'm counting here. Any other games I pick are just to get me to think about the entire league and try to become better at being a bettor - which again, I haven't won or lost a red cent on any of these picks and don't plan to bet anything.
Speaking of the MNF game, I'm telling you, Jax is all over this. A win by them would not surprise me in the slightest. MoJo Drew is going to hammer them. Gerrard plays mistake free. They have a decent defense. They're at home. They have Indy's number. Bank on it, people.
So Eli didn't quite look like Joe Montana out there, but he played a solid game. Dilfer strangely enough played better than I expected, but he did give up two INTs, which is not a shocker. My original analysis just looked at the QBs, but I didn't even think about giving the G-Men any credit for their defense. Shame on me for that oversight.
But hey, a win is a win, and a win and cover is even better. 5-1 on the year for the LotW. Obviously in week 5 I got smacked in the mouth with every game I picked. Let's see how the MNF game goes tonight. And just remember, The Lock is really all I'm counting here. Any other games I pick are just to get me to think about the entire league and try to become better at being a bettor - which again, I haven't won or lost a red cent on any of these picks and don't plan to bet anything.
Speaking of the MNF game, I'm telling you, Jax is all over this. A win by them would not surprise me in the slightest. MoJo Drew is going to hammer them. Gerrard plays mistake free. They have a decent defense. They're at home. They have Indy's number. Bank on it, people.
Thursday, October 18, 2007
Week 7 Picks
For those of your faithful followers (which as of now includes only me!) I'll have to apologize for not picking any Week 6 games. Things just didn't work out last week and weekend for me to take even 10 minutes to pick game... or two seconds to throw a dart at the board and just guess.
Anyway, here we go. Time to redeem myself.
Lock of the Week
At NY Giants -9 San Francisco O/U 40
Pick: NY Giants
Yessir! The Geeeeeeeeeeee-men are the LotW! Why? Well, Eli's actually pretending he's a real NFL QB, they're at home, and SF still has Trent Dilfer at QB. Yikes. And so far this year big #'s have not been too bad against teams (See NE a few times, and Dallas - other than the Buffalo game!). Again, we're back to Trent Dilfer pitching, meaning next to no points for San Francisco.
A buddy of mine also wants me to start picking the Monday Night game for goofs, even if I don't pick any other games for the week. Here is what we're looking at:
Indianapolis -3 At Jacksonville O/U 45
Pick: Jacksonville
I'll keep this simple. Every year Jax gives Indy a run for their money in a game - just like Tennessee does. Oh, and by the way, Indy can't stop the run. MoJo-Drew is starting to run like he did last year. Hell, Jax very well may win this game.
Anyway, here we go. Time to redeem myself.
Lock of the Week
At NY Giants -9 San Francisco O/U 40
Pick: NY Giants
Yessir! The Geeeeeeeeeeee-men are the LotW! Why? Well, Eli's actually pretending he's a real NFL QB, they're at home, and SF still has Trent Dilfer at QB. Yikes. And so far this year big #'s have not been too bad against teams (See NE a few times, and Dallas - other than the Buffalo game!). Again, we're back to Trent Dilfer pitching, meaning next to no points for San Francisco.
A buddy of mine also wants me to start picking the Monday Night game for goofs, even if I don't pick any other games for the week. Here is what we're looking at:
Indianapolis -3 At Jacksonville O/U 45
Pick: Jacksonville
I'll keep this simple. Every year Jax gives Indy a run for their money in a game - just like Tennessee does. Oh, and by the way, Indy can't stop the run. MoJo-Drew is starting to run like he did last year. Hell, Jax very well may win this game.
Week 5 recap
Holy shit. 0-4?!?! Unreal. GB totally disappointed (and after Wk 6 looks like they may be coming back to earth), Cleveland was 10 yards away from making me look genius, Dallas vomited all over their shoes, and Baltimore - if you ask me - is not anywhere near as good as they get credit for. My God they stink on offense.
So there is your recap. Slam me all you want for picking 4 losers and missing Week 6. It happens.
And I missed my first LotW... Damn.
So there is your recap. Slam me all you want for picking 4 losers and missing Week 6. It happens.
And I missed my first LotW... Damn.
Tuesday, October 2, 2007
Week 5 Picks
And here is where I put 'em on the table for you to smash with a hammer if I am wrong.
LOCK OF THE WEEK
Favorite Line Opponent O/U
Green Bay -3 Chicago 41
Pick: Green Bay
Um, yeah. It's at the Frozen Tundra. Farve thinks he's 29. Chicago's secondary is decimated, and Green Bay is just favored by three?!?! Yes, this smells like a classic Vegas trap game, but I can't imagine it being this close. Look what Detroit did. They score three offensive touchdowns IN THE FOURTH QUARTER! I don't care if this is a rivalry game, Green Bay wins this walking away.
So let's think about this. Chicago has no real offense to speak of. Green Bay has a monster defense. Chicago's secondary is in shambles and Farve hooked up to the Juvenation Machine. Yeah, get some.
FOUR STAR GAMES
Favorite Line Opponent O/U
Baltimore -3 at San Francisco 35.5
Pick: Baltimore
Trent Dilfer is pitchin' in SF... 'nuff said. Add in that Frank Gore is facing the best run D in the league and I can't see SF scoring more than 13 points. Baltimore just needs 1 TD from McGahee and one from Mason plus a field goal and they cover. Expect to see Dilfer on his ass repeatedly.
Dallas -10 At Buffalo 44
Pick: Dallas
Buffalo has no real offense and Dallas is the best team in the NFC conference right now. That and Buffalo has no real secondary to speak of with a bad offense. Sound familiar? This sounds like the GB/Chicago match-up all over again, except Dallas is better and Buffalo is far worse. Yes, the spread is 10, but think about it. A 27-17 Dallas win is 44 points (the O/U total) and the spread. Dallas has averaged over 30 points a game! Now, go back and re-read what I said about Buffalo's offense and their secondary and pick this winner. This was almost my lock of the week.
That's 3-for-3 folks... hang your hats on it.
Now, for the trap game of the week. This is the game that looks like a gimme, but you're missin' something.
TRAP OF THE WEEK
At New England -16 Cleveland 48
Pick: Cleveland
What??!?! Am I insane?!?! My thoughts are this simple: Cleveland's offense is better than this. Look at what happened to Baltimores vaunted defense last week and New England's isn't as good. Close - but not quite. They're on to something there. Cleveland is developing a nice offense. I expect this one to be under a ten point difference by the time it is all said and done.
LOCK OF THE WEEK
Favorite Line Opponent O/U
Green Bay -3 Chicago 41
Pick: Green Bay
Um, yeah. It's at the Frozen Tundra. Farve thinks he's 29. Chicago's secondary is decimated, and Green Bay is just favored by three?!?! Yes, this smells like a classic Vegas trap game, but I can't imagine it being this close. Look what Detroit did. They score three offensive touchdowns IN THE FOURTH QUARTER! I don't care if this is a rivalry game, Green Bay wins this walking away.
So let's think about this. Chicago has no real offense to speak of. Green Bay has a monster defense. Chicago's secondary is in shambles and Farve hooked up to the Juvenation Machine. Yeah, get some.
FOUR STAR GAMES
Favorite Line Opponent O/U
Baltimore -3 at San Francisco 35.5
Pick: Baltimore
Trent Dilfer is pitchin' in SF... 'nuff said. Add in that Frank Gore is facing the best run D in the league and I can't see SF scoring more than 13 points. Baltimore just needs 1 TD from McGahee and one from Mason plus a field goal and they cover. Expect to see Dilfer on his ass repeatedly.
Dallas -10 At Buffalo 44
Pick: Dallas
Buffalo has no real offense and Dallas is the best team in the NFC conference right now. That and Buffalo has no real secondary to speak of with a bad offense. Sound familiar? This sounds like the GB/Chicago match-up all over again, except Dallas is better and Buffalo is far worse. Yes, the spread is 10, but think about it. A 27-17 Dallas win is 44 points (the O/U total) and the spread. Dallas has averaged over 30 points a game! Now, go back and re-read what I said about Buffalo's offense and their secondary and pick this winner. This was almost my lock of the week.
That's 3-for-3 folks... hang your hats on it.
Now, for the trap game of the week. This is the game that looks like a gimme, but you're missin' something.
TRAP OF THE WEEK
At New England -16 Cleveland 48
Pick: Cleveland
What??!?! Am I insane?!?! My thoughts are this simple: Cleveland's offense is better than this. Look at what happened to Baltimores vaunted defense last week and New England's isn't as good. Close - but not quite. They're on to something there. Cleveland is developing a nice offense. I expect this one to be under a ten point difference by the time it is all said and done.
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